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Using Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD pronounced Mac Dee) is one of the most reliable and simple tool in your arsenal as currency trader. MACD is trend following momentum oscillator or indicator.

MACD is a lagging indicators and it shows the relationship between two moving averages of recent prices. Most technical indicators used in technical analysis are lagging. This means they are slow and they just tell you after the fact what just happened.

Learning technical analysis is essential for you as a currency trader. Technical analysis is based on the premise that past price action can be used to predict the future prices in the currency markets.

There are many chart types used in the technical analysis. Technical analysis helps you to read your charts and analyze them with a number of technical indicators. Using technical indicators is the key to understanding the market behavior.

MACD is calculated by subtracting a slow exponential moving average (EMA) from a fast exponential moving average. Signal line is calculated by the taking the EMA of MACD for a number of bars. The Histogram is the difference between the MACD and its signal line.

MACD is one of the most popular indicators used in . However, beware that MACD is often misunderstood and misused. Like any other technical indicator you should use it in conjunction with other technical indicators.

Crossovers: A crossover happens when MACD falls below or rises above the signal line. When MACD rises above the signal line from below, it is a bullish signal. It indicates that you should buy. Conversely, when MACD falls from above, it is a bearish signal. It indicates the time to sell.

In case of a Divergence, when the price diverges from MACD, it indicates the end of the current trend. Negative Divergence is when the price is rising and MACD is falling. It is an indication of the change in the trend. Thats right; the lagging indicator that is supposed to follow the price is predicting future behavior.

Dramatic Expansion: Dramatic expansion occurs when the shorter moving average pulls away from the longer moving average. When MACD expands dramatically, it is an indication that the currency is overbought/ oversold and may return to normal soon.

One thing should be very clear. All the above three cases are important and should not be overlooked. However, none of them are signals for a trade. For example, MACD Divergence is tradable when confirmed by other indicators. If you simply start trading on MACD Divergence, it may not yield a profitable trade.

However, when planned in advance and confirmed by other technical indicators, success is more likely. This is due to the fact that several things are happening at the same time. Each is attracting the same bulls and bears into the trade that you are planning.

When you use MACD, crossovers and dramatic rises are usually easy to spot. Even novices can do that. However, spotting MACD divergence correctly comes after a little practice.

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